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NEW YORK JETS (12-5) at NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (14-2)
2011-01-14

Sportsbook.com Line/Total: New England -9 & 44.5
The Patriots and Jets meet for the season rubber match in New England with an AFC Championship Game berth on the line. The Jets dominated the second half and frustrated Tom Brady in beating the Pats 28-14 in Week 2, but New England crushed New York 45-3 in the Week 13 rematch as Brady threw for 326 yards and four touchdowns to four different receivers.
Since that drubbing, the Jets have won road games in Pittsburgh and Indianapolis, whom they beat 17-16 on a last-second field goal last week. New York ranks fourth in the NFL in rushing yards (148 YPG), and actually rushed for 152 yards in the 45-3 loss in New England. LaDainian Tomlinson (914 yards, 4.2 YPC, 6 TD this year) has gained 831 total yards and five touchdowns in seven career games against New England. The Jets’ passing offense has been inconsistent, with Mark Sanchez throwing just one touchdown and six interceptions in his past five games, including three picks at New England. The Patriots pass defense currently ranks third-worst in the NFL with 259 passing YPG allowed, but their 25 interceptions lead the NFL.
Speaking of interceptions, Brady has not thrown one since Week 6, an NFL-record run of 335 passes in a row without a pick. He has 36 TD and 4 INT for the season and has only lost one home game in his past 29 starts, a 33-14 defeat to Baltimore in last season’s playoffs. Brady is also 8-1 at home in his postseason career with his only loss coming against the Ravens. The Patriots also rank ninth in the NFL in rushing (123 YPG), but the Jets boast the third-best run defense in football (91 YPG). The Patriots have turned the ball over just once in the past eight games, while forcing 24 turnovers in those eight contests. They are a perfect 8-0 over this span, winning by an average score of 32 to 16.
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NFL Playoff Betting
2011-01-05

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INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (6-6) at TENNESSEE TITANS (5-7)
2010-12-09

Sportsbook.com Line: Indianapolis -4 & 45.

The Colts try to avoid their first four-game losing streak since 2001 when they visit Tennessee, losers of five straight, on Thursday night. Both teams know their only shot to make the playoffs is to win their final four games to take the AFC South Division crown. While Tennessee is relatively injury-free, the Colts have a gaggle of injury concerns. RB Joseph Addai (neck), RB Mike Hart (ankle) and WR Austin Collie (concussions) are all out for Thursday’s game, while TE Jacob Tamme (knee) is questionable and WR Reggie Wayne (knee) is probable to play at Tennessee.

Colts QB Peyton Manning has thrown an uncanny 11 interceptions during the losing streak, but he has won three straight games against the Titans, throwing for five scores and just one interception in those contests. The big reason Manning is forcing the issue through the air is that the running game has been terrible without Addai and Hart. Over the past five games, the Colts are averaging a mere 55 rushing YPG on 3.0 yards per carry.

Sportsbook.com opened the Colts -3 & a ridiculous 92% of action is behind Indianapolis.

Tennessee is glad the Colts are forced to throw the football because the Titans can’t stop anybody on the ground. Tennessee has allowed 159 rushing YPG during its losing skid, including 258 to Jacksonville last week. The Titans have many more issues on the offensive side of the ball, failing to score an offensive touchdown in 13 straight quarters of action. Kerry Collins will start at QB again, despite his woeful performance against the Jaguars (14-of-32, 169 yards, 0 TD, 2 INT). RB Chris Johnson also needs to pick up his game, as he has gained a paltry 58 rushing yards in his past two games. He could find plenty of holes in a Colts defense surrendering 171 rushing YPG during their three-game losing skid.

These teams have been pretty evenly matched when they play in Tennessee, with Indianapolis 5-3 SU (4-4 ATS) in the past eight games at LP Field. These two trends show why home underdog Tennessee is the play for Thursday night.

Play On - Home underdogs or pick (TENNESSEE) - after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread, in December games. (79-38 since 1983.) (67.5%, +37.2 units. Rating = 3*)

Play Against - Favorites (INDIANAPOLIS) - after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games against opponent after being outrushed by 100 or more yards last game.

(34-10 since 1983.) (77.3%, +23 units. Rating = 3*).

Play Over - Any team against the total (INDIANAPOLIS) - after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after 2 straight losses by 10 or more points.

(31-8 over the last 10 seasons.) (79.5%, +22.2 units. Rating = 3*).

INDIANAPOLIS is 23-6 OVER (79.3%, +16.4 Units) off an upset loss as a home favorite since 1992. The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 23.6, OPPONENT 26.3 - (Rating = 3*).

Sportsbook.com has recently put up “Team Playoff Props”. Will the Colts make the postseason for the ninth consecutive year? The Yes is -120.


Seymour fined for Right-Hook to Roethlisberger
2010-12-06

In the 2009 season, the Oakland Raiders only won five games, meaning they went 5-11 last season. This year, things appear to be turning around, even just a little, as the Raiders are 5-6, a marked improvement over last year. In fact, the Raiders were riding a three game winning streak. In order for that streak to have had any chance of staying alive, they shouldn’t have played the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday. Big Ben and the gang put up 35 points against the Raiders, and only spotted them three points for a blowout of mega proportions in Pittsburgh.
Well, these things happen, and I was more than excited to hear that the Raiders were playing the Steelers, because I knew this sort of thing would happen. Blowouts happen, especially to teams run by Al Davis and Tom Cable and playing the Steelers. However, it wasn’t the final score that caused the Raiders to slip back into their pathetic ways. NFL betting is also jumping ship on the Raiders, they are so up and down that betting on them is a risky proposition.
Defensive lineman Richard Seymour, clearly and easily out of frustration, smacked Steelers’ quarterback Ben Roethlisberger following a 22 yard touchdown pass from Roethlisberger, thus increasing the Steelers’ lead to 21-3 in the second quarter. Hey, I know why Seymour hauled off and laid one on Big Ben: He was frustrated, pure and simple. Frustrated because his team was losing by 18 points and it wasn’t even halftime, frustrated because he’s in a Raiders uniform, frustrated that he’s forced to live in that God-awful city, and frustrated because he’s in a Raiders uniform. Still, despite all the frustration, emotions have to be kept in check. This isn’t high school, or prison, so grow up. It’s understood that some of the offensive lineman for the Steelers were running their mouths, and that’s enraging, but that’s still no reason to hit someone.
Seymour hit Roethlisberger while Seymour was arguing with the offensive lineman of the Steelers. Big Ben came over to separate the group, so that his team wouldn’t receive a penalty, and then boom! Big Ben goes down like a sack of laundry. Seymour didn’t even hit the guy he was arguing with, and that just shows the immense lack of discipline that runs amuck within the Raiders organization. The NFL released Seymour’s punishment for the hit on Monday: A $25,000 fine, but no suspension, which is good news for the Raiders I guess, but bad news for the next quarterback.
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